Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 4.150116 4.450917 4.773308 5.146363 5.568476 6.034069 6.590350
2025-08-17 3.593745 3.994935 4.451241 5.015288 5.703384 6.528782 7.615180
2025-08-24 3.270141 3.721389 4.255356 4.946353 5.836685 6.975522 8.597573
2025-08-31 3.086444 3.579688 4.182669 4.993896 6.090575 7.578461 9.866047
2025-09-07 2.927383 3.446974 4.099065 5.005019 6.280969 8.104811 11.116196
2025-09-14 2.727240 3.243880 3.903829 4.841147 6.199818 8.216737 11.731528
2025-09-21 2.579046 3.096203 3.767711 4.741421 6.192307 8.427643 12.543461
2025-09-28 2.466140 2.986593 3.672930 4.688149 6.242239 8.727481 13.573547
2025-10-05 2.382955 2.910843 3.617797 4.684728 6.363888 9.156760 14.956848
2025-10-12 2.336573 2.881349 3.623467 4.769009 6.630057 9.872205 17.150702
2025-10-19 2.288748 2.846512 3.618144 4.834192 6.869535 10.577793 19.590970
2025-10-26 2.226856 2.788464 3.575124 4.835980 6.999165 11.093941 21.782252
2025-11-02 2.140312 2.693983 3.476907 4.748218 6.971936 11.312031 23.336599
2025-11-09 2.051544 2.593088 3.364785 4.631313 6.882497 11.391268 24.554146
2025-11-16 1.984045 2.519887 3.290280 4.570480 6.889376 11.680127 26.610281
2025-11-23 1.947418 2.489588 3.278591 4.612338 7.092887 12.450582 30.883025
2025-11-30 1.905547 2.449626 3.249643 4.622128 7.234569 13.108071 35.333791
2025-12-07 1.830137 2.357383 3.135545 4.477710 7.054242 12.934437 36.028365
2025-12-14 1.772107 2.289130 3.056277 4.389647 6.980887 13.025508 38.133813
2025-12-21 1.726875 2.238394 3.002297 4.342549 6.986859 13.326797 41.666296
2025-12-28 1.693941 2.204959 2.974191 4.339524 7.084679 13.900569 47.540903
2026-01-04 1.679351 2.198594 2.988770 4.414022 7.356930 15.043554 59.405878
2026-01-11 1.661808 2.186973 2.994104 4.471573 7.598973 16.176251 74.746303